March to Madness Bracketology

Weekly NCAA tournament seed projections and bracket builds.

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Last Updated: February 11, 2026 at 9:40 AM CT

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Current Bracket

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All 68 teams ranked by seed line

Rank	Seed	Team	Conference	AQ?	Notes
1	1	Michigan	Big Ten	AQ
2	1	Arizona	Big 12	AQ
3	1	Duke	ACC	AQ
4	1	Houston	Big 12
5	2	UConn	Big East	AQ
6	2	Michigan St.	Big Ten
7	2	Kansas	Big 12
8	2	Illinois	Big Ten
9	3	Nebraska	Big Ten
10	3	Iowa St.	Big 12
11	3	Florida	SEC	AQ
12	3	Purdue	Big Ten
13	4	Gonzaga	WCC	AQ
14	4	Texas Tech	Big 12
15	4	Virginia	ACC
16	4	St. John’s	Big East
17	5	Vanderbilt	SEC
18	5	Arkansas	SEC
19	5	North Carolina	ACC
20	5	Tennessee	SEC
21	6	Louisville	ACC
22	6	Alabama	SEC
23	6	Clemson	ACC
24	6	BYU	Big 12
25	7	Iowa	Big Ten
26	7	Kentucky	SEC
27	7	Villanova	Big East
28	7	Wisconsin	Big Ten
29	8	North Carolina St.	ACC
30	8	Georgia	SEC
31	8	Utah St.	Mountain West	AQ
32	8	Saint Louis	A-10	AQ
33	9	UCF	Big 12
34	9	Indiana	Big Ten
35	9	UCLA	Big Ten
36	9	Miami (FL)	ACC
37	10	USC	Big Ten
38	10	SMU	ACC
39	10	Texas A&M	SEC
40	10	Auburn	SEC
41	11	Miami (OH)	MAC	AQ
42	11	Texas	SEC
43	11	Saint Mary’s	WCC		First Four
44	11	Santa Clara	WCC		First Four
45	11	San Diego St.	Mountain West		First Four
46	11	Missouri	SEC		First Four
47	12	USF	AAC	AQ
48	12	Belmont	MVC	AQ
49	12	Liberty	C-USA	AQ
50	12	Yale	Ivy	AQ
51	13	Stephen F. Austin	Southland	AQ
52	13	High Point	Big South	AQ
53	13	Hawaii	Big West	AQ
54	13	Cal Baptist	WAC	AQ
55	14	UNCW	CAA	AQ
56	14	Troy	Sun Belt	AQ
57	14	North Dakota St.	Summit	AQ
58	14	ETSU	Southern	AQ
59	15	Portland St.	Big Sky	AQ
60	15	Austin Peay	ASUN	AQ
61	15	Wright St.	Horizon	AQ
62	15	Navy	Patriot	AQ
63	16	UT Martin	OVC	AQ
64	16	Merrimack	MAAC	AQ
65	16	Long Island	NEC	AQ	First Four
66	16	Bethune Cookman	SWAC	AQ	First Four
67	16	UMBC	MEAC	AQ	First Four
68	16	NC Central	America East	AQ	First Four

Saint Mary’s (WCC) - Year-in and year-out the Gaels just win games. They’ll give anyone a competent matchup and don’t have enough losses to knock them out. Massive matchups against Santa Clara and Gonzaga to end the season will likely determine their tournament fate.
Santa Clara (WCC) - Similarly to Saint Mary’s, this program just wins. I’d be surprised to see three WCC teams in the field, but if Gonzaga, Saint Mary’s, and Santa Clara split their round robin to end the year, there will certainly be a case to be made.
San Diego St. (Mountain West) - The Mountain West as we know it is coming to a sputtering conclusion. A conference that has consistently produced three or more bids per year may only be sending two teams to the NCAA Tournament this March. That being said, San Diego St. has proven they can hang with anyone and has solidified itself as one of the most consistent programs in the nation.
Missouri (SEC) - Missouri is hanging on by a thread. If the Tigers (16-7) can get to 20 wins, I have a hard time seeing them miss out, but TCU has some big wins and are hot on the trail for an at-large. A win against Vanderbilt or Arkansas would work wonders.

TCU (Big 12) - The Horned Frogs have a extremely favorable schedule down the stretch with only one ranked matchup (at Texas Tech). If they can handle business, they can make a late push, but there’s very little room for error.
Ohio State (Big Ten) - Ohio State is 0-7 in Quad 1 games. They have four left. It’s really hard to make the big dance in a power conference with an 0-11 or 1-10 record. The Bucks have to find a way to take at least one if they want any consideration.